Tuesday, August 11, 2020

NOAA: Expect More, Stronger and Longer-Lived Tropical Storms

 The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration revised its prediction for the 2020 hurricane season in early August, calling the new forecast "one of the most active seasonal forecasts that NOAA has produced in its 22-year history of hurricane outlooks."

The revised forecast now calls for 19-25 named storms (the average is 12), with one forecaster at the Climate Prediction Center saying that "we expect more, stronger and longer-lived storms than average" this year, and that the likelihood of an above-average Atlantic hurricane season is now 85%.

At our deadline in August, there had already been nine named storms, a threshold that typically isn't reached until early October. The Atlantic hurricane season runs through November 30.